Know which credit unions are about to reach for funding. A quarter before they borrow.

Most teams work this market from a static list and an educated guess. CUSignals puts all ~4,300 U.S. credit unions in one place and updates daily. It shows three things: who is running short of funding, who is likely to merge into another credit union, and which platforms each one runs today. The first two are predictions. We tested both against what credit unions actually did next, and both held up. The third is a record of what is installed, not a prediction. We also tested a buying-intent score. It failed, so we pulled it, and we show that result below.

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~4,300
Credit unions scored
Daily
News & event updates
86 in 100
Pairs the merger score ranked right
76–83 in 100
Pairs the funding score ranked right

Two tested scores, one record

Built for the teams that fund, acquire and sell to credit unions

If you read credit unions from the outside, as a funding desk, acquirer, advisor or vendor, this is built for you. (A credit union studying its own numbers already has a core system for that.) Two of the three products below are tested predictions. The third is a record of what each credit union runs. Each card tells you which it is.

Liquidity Radar

Deposit brokers · FHLB · whole-loan desks

“Who is running short of funding, and who has cash to put to work?”

  • Shows who is about to need funding, a quarter before they borrow
  • Tested on real borrowing: in 76 to 83 of every 100 pairs, it ranked the one that borrowed higher
  • Marks each credit union as a buyer or seller of loans; 89–93% of labels are unchanged a quarter or two later
  • Estimates the dollars each has to sell or invest, and pairs likely buyers with sellers

Merger Radar

Acquiring credit unions · advisors · investment banks

“Which credit unions are likely to merge into another, and what is each one worth to an acquirer?”

  • Ranks which credit unions are likely to merge into another
  • Tested on real mergers: in 86 of every 100 pairs, it ranked the one that merged higher. Not yet tested above $500M in assets
  • Gives each a one-year merger probability you can quote, not a rule of thumb
  • Scores what each is worth separately from how likely it is: value per member, core-deposit mix, capital an acquirer takes on

Displacement Lists

Fintech and CUSO vendors · Sales and RevOps leadership

“Which credit unions use my competitor, since when, and when is the contract up?”

  • Who uses your competitor today, and when the contract comes up
  • A record of what is installed, not a prediction. There is no score to argue with
  • Names the current vendor and install date on every account, plus the renewal window where we can cite a contract term
  • Covers ~200 credit unions; every list states its own coverage

How it works

Raw data in, a ranked account list out

Anyone can download the filings. What you pay for is what happens next: the cleanup, a daily news layer that keeps the data current between filings, and the evidence shown on every row. When someone asks why an account is on your list, you can answer on the call.

  1. Collect

    Financials for every credit union

    We gather data from several sources and match each record to the right credit union. We remove duplicates and map every line item to one checked set of account codes. The result is one clean dataset covering every credit union, rebuilt each time new filings arrive. You never have to reconcile two lists that disagree about the same institution.

  2. Derive

    Ratios, trends, peers

    We work out capital, funding, growth and credit-quality ratios, and track how each moved over the last quarter and the last year. Then we rank each credit union against its peer group and asset tier. Size alone tells you very little. Rank against peers is what makes an account worth a call.

  3. Score

    Scores you can explain

    Each score is built from documented financial measures with published weights. It is not a black box. Every score breaks down into the few factors that built it, so the answer to “why is this account on my list?” is on your screen, not in somebody's notebook.

  4. Act

    What changed, and who to call

    Every day we add news from industry channels: leadership changes, vendor announcements, mergers and regulatory actions. Each item is dated and tied to one credit union. Scores are rebuilt each filing cycle, and the movers view shows what is new since last time: whose merger risk moved up a band, whose funding just turned stressed, and who switched from buying loans to selling them. That list is where next week's calls come from.

Tested, not claimed

Checked against what credit unions actually did next.

Anyone can claim a score predicts something, so ask how it was checked. Each score below was taken as it stood at the time, then compared with what those credit unions actually did next.

86 in 100
Merger score vs. later mergers driven by the credit union's own condition
76–83 in 100
Funding score vs. credit unions whose borrowing actually rose
18/18
Liquidity tests where the score beat every simpler ranking
100%
Scores shown with the factors behind them

How to read these numbers: picture pairs of credit unions, one that went on to merge or borrow and one that did not. Each figure is how often the score ranked the first one higher. 50 in 100 is a coin flip. 100 in 100 is perfect. Roughly 70 and up is a list worth working. Below about 60, you are better off sorting by asset size. (Statisticians call this measure AUC and write it from 0.50 to 1.00.)

Merger Radar

Held up

Work the top of this list and you are about five times more likely to find a credit union that later merged under pressure than if you picked at random.

Only mergers a regulator put down to the credit union's own condition count here, not two healthy credit unions choosing to combine. Given one credit union that merged that way and one that did not, the score ranked the merging one higher 86 times out of 100. The test used a later period than the one the score was built on, so the score never saw the answers. The top 10% of scores caught 55% of these mergers, 5.5 times what a random list of the same length would catch.

Where it stops: No credit union above $500M in assets merged under pressure during the test period, so above that size the score is untested. It is a tool for smaller credit unions.

Liquidity Radar

Held up

The credit unions this flags as short on funding are the ones that went on to borrow. It is the strongest signal on the site, and it beat every simpler way of building the same list.

Given one credit union whose borrowing rose over the next one or two quarters and one whose did not, the stress score ranked the borrower higher 76 to 83 times out of 100, across three different starting quarters. It beat simpler rankings (recent borrowing growth, loan-to-share ratio and asset size) in all 18 combinations tested. Flagged credit unions borrowed at two to three times the overall rate.

Where it stops: The test could only see borrowing, because the filings do not report brokered deposits separately. A credit union that filled the gap with brokered deposits counts as a miss, so the measured hit rate is a floor.

All of this describes a past period. It is evidence that the ranking worked before, not a promise about any single credit union next quarter. The disclosures set out the limits on reading these figures.

Questions

What CUSignals is, and what it is not

The answers an evaluator needs before a first conversation, stated plainly.

What is CUSignals?
CUSignals covers all ~4,300 U.S. credit unions for the people who work with them from the outside: vendors, acquirers and funding desks. It scores each one on how likely it is to merge and how short it is on funding, and tracks which platforms each one runs. News updates daily. Scores are rebuilt with each new filing cycle, and every score shows the factors behind it instead of a bare number.
How is the data collected?
From several sources that together cover every U.S. credit union. We match each record to the right institution, remove duplicates and map every line item to one checked set of account codes. We rebuild the dataset each filing cycle and add a daily news layer on top. The sources and the pipeline are proprietary. What we publish is what we do with the data: the ratios, the peer rankings and the weights behind every score.
Who is it for?
Three groups that read credit unions from the outside. Fintech and CUSO vendors, finding which credit unions run a competitor's system and when the contract is up. Acquiring credit unions, advisors and investment banks, tracking merger candidates. And deposit brokers, FHLB desks and whole-loan buyers, matching credit unions that need funding with those that have it. A credit union studying only itself does not need it.
What am I actually paying for?
The work between the raw filings and a list you can call from. That means the account-code mapping; capital, funding, growth and credit-quality ratios; rankings against peers and asset tiers; a calibrated merger model, meaning a 10% score should come true about one time in ten; and buyer-seller matching. And having all of it ready within days of each new filing cycle, not a month later.
How accurate is the merger model?
Accurate enough to rank a call list, and only for smaller credit unions. We counted distress-driven mergers only: ones a regulator put down to the credit union's own condition, not two healthy credit unions combining. Work the top 10% of scores and you find 55% of those mergers, 5.5 times the hit rate of a random list the same length. Given one credit union that merged under pressure and one that did not, the score ranked the merging one higher 86 times out of 100. We measured this on a later period than the score was built on. No merger in the test was above $500M in assets, so above that size it is untested.
Are the other two signals validated the same way?
No. Each was tested against a different outcome, and one failed. Liquidity Radar held up. Given one credit union that went on to borrow and one that did not, it ranked the borrower higher 76 to 83 times out of 100 across three quarters. It beat recent borrowing growth, loan-to-share and asset size in every combination we tested. Vendor Signal did not pass its test. It is not offered as a call list, and where the app still shows its scores they are labeled as unvalidated context.
How often does it update?
Daily. We read news and other channels covering these institutions every day. Each item is labeled, dated and tied to one credit union, so a leadership change or vendor announcement shows up the day it is reported. Scores are rebuilt with each new filing cycle. Each rebuild comes with a movers view: whose merger risk changed band, whose funding turned stressed, and who switched between buying and selling loans.
Can I see why an account scored the way it did?
Yes. Every score breaks into the few factors that built it, and each factor's weight is published, not hidden. A merger score keeps two things apart: how likely the credit union is to merge, and how attractive it would be to an acquirer. You never have to read them as one number.
How is it priced?
By territory: how many credit unions you can see and export, updated daily. Not by seat, and not by search. Every tier gets the same scores over its own part of the market. The pricing page lists every tier and what it covers, with two months free on annual billing. We quote the rate per organization, so email admin@infinidatum.net with the territory you need and we will send it.
Are the scores financial advice?
No. Every score is a model estimate, built to help you decide who to call first, not to underwrite a decision. Nothing CUSignals publishes is investment, credit or merger advice. None of it is a recommendation about any specific institution, and CUSignals does not employ licensed advisors.

Read the full FAQ — buying and billing, day-to-day use, security and compliance.

Priced on the territory you work

You pay for how many credit unions you can see and export, not for seats or searches. The data updates daily.

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